Why this GM Mayoral election will be very different to the first two

A major change has been made to Greater Manchester’s mayoral election. 

Andy Burnham is standing for a third term on May 2, and he is known to have five challengers as of yesterday (Tuesday), with the deadline for nominations being Friday (April 5).

On the ballot currently are Laura Evans (Conservatives), Jake Austin (Liberal Democrats), Hannah Spencer (Green Party), Dan Barker (Reform UK), and Nick Buckley (Independent).

Mr Burnham has been the city-region’s mayor since 2017, winning elections that year and in 2021.

However, those elections were run differently to the 2024 contest.

The first polls used the supplementary vote (SV) system, which saw the electorate put two crosses on their ballot paper.

They were to select a first-preference and second-preference candidate.

In SV, if no one secured more than 50 percent of the first-preference votes, then the top two candidates go into a run-off election.

This head-to-head poll sees second-preference votes come into play.

There, all of the second-preference votes from the candidates who were eliminated are counted.

Then, the winner of the election is the politician from the run-off with the most first and second preference votes.

Proponents of SV say it encourages politicians to appeal to a wider group of voters, so they hold broader appeal across a city, constituency, or ward.

Opponents claim that it does not guarantee a candidate gets a majority of support, and also leads to voters second-guessing who might reach the run-off.

In Greater Manchester, the system was never used to its full potential as Mr Burnham claimed victory on first-choice votes alone.

In 2017, he secured 63.4 percent of the first votes, and in 2021 he won 67.3 percent.

However, SV is no longer being used in mayoral elections in the UK. 

“Mayoral elections and Police and Crime Commissioner elections previously used the Supplementary Vote system, where voters could choose a first and second choice vote. Now, voters will choose a single candidate on the ballot paper. This is the same system as UK Parliamentary elections and local elections in England,” the Electoral Commission has confirmed.

It was replaced in mayoral elections by first-past-the-post, which is used in parliamentary elections, by the Elections Act 2022.

First-past-the-post sees voters simply choose one candidate, with the person with the most votes declared the winner.

The change means voters have a simpler decision to make at the ballot box on May 2, but it also could lead to the new Mayor having a narrower base of support.

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